2024 Tepertopian Assembly election (Pacifica): Difference between revisions

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| previous_election = 2021 Tepertopian Assembly election
| previous_election = 2021 Tepertopian Assembly election
| previous_year    = 2021
| previous_year    = 2021
| outgoing_members  =  
| outgoing_members  = {{pa|52nd Tepertopian Assembly|outgoing members}}
| election_date    = {{Start date|2024|02|04}}
| election_date    = {{Start date|2024|02|04}}
| elected_members  =  
| elected_members  = {{pa|53rd Tepertopian Assembly|elected members}}
| next_election    =  
| next_election    =  
| next_year        =  
| next_year        = ''2027''
| seats_for_election= All 100 seats in the {{pa|Tepertopian Assembly}}
| seats_for_election= All 100 seats in the {{pa|Tepertopian Assembly}}
| majority_seats    = 51
| majority_seats    = 51
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| last_update      =  
| last_update      =  
| time_zone        =  
| time_zone        =  
| image_upright    =  
| image_size        = 150px
| filler            = <!-- (fills whitespace to the left of image1 with filler text, such as "Political selections")-->
| filler            = <!-- (fills whitespace to the left of image1 with filler text, such as "Political selections")-->


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| before_election  = {{pa|Seymour Farnham}}
| before_election  = {{pa|Seymour Farnham}}
| before_party      = {{pa|The Moderates (Tepertopia)|The Moderates}}
| before_party      = {{pa|The Moderates (Tepertopia)|The Moderates}}
| posttitle        =  
| posttitle        = Assembly President
| after_election    =  
| after_election    = {{pa|Seymour Farnham}}
| after_party      =  
| after_party      = {{pa|The Moderates (Tepertopia)|The Moderates}}


<!-- The Moderates -->
<!-- The Moderates -->
| image1            = [[File:Volker_bouffier.jpg|150px]]
| image1            = {{CSS image crop
  | Image  = Volker_Bouffier.jpg
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| colour1          = E6E6FA
| colour1          = E6E6FA
| leader1          = {{pa|Fredric Hyde}}
| leader1          = {{pa|Fredric Hyde}}
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<!-- Welfare Party -->
<!-- Welfare Party -->
| image2            = [[File:Brigitte_Häberli-Koller_(2007).jpg|150px]]
| image2            = {{CSS image crop
  | Image  = Brigitte_Häberli-Koller_(2015,_cropped).jpg
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| colour2          = FF0000
| colour2          = FF0000
| leader2          = {{pa|Julie Wright}}
| leader2          = {{pa|Julie Wright}}
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<!-- Merchants' Guild -->
<!-- Merchants' Guild -->
| image3            = [[File:Angus King 113th Congress.jpg|150px]]
| image3            = {{CSS image crop
  | Image  = Angus King 113th Congress.jpg
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| colour3          = DAA520
| colour3          = DAA520
| leader3          = {{pa|Walton Geldenberg}}
| leader3          = {{pa|Walton Geldenberg}}
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<!-- Canon -->
<!-- Canon -->
| image4            = [[File:Patrick McHenry 115th Congress photo (cropped 2).jpg|150px]]
| image4            = {{CSS image crop
  | Image  = Patrick_McHenry_115th_Congress_photo_(cropped).jpg
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| colour4          = 9400D3
| colour4          = 9400D3
| leader4          = {{pa|Achim Revie}}
| leader4          = {{pa|Achim Revie}}
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<!-- FiO -->
<!-- FiO -->
| image5            = [[File:Adèle_Thorens-Goumaz.jpg|150px]]
| image5            = {{CSS image crop
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| colour5          = 32CD32
| colour5          = 32CD32
| leader5          = {{pa|Frieda Berge}}
| leader5          = {{pa|Frieda Berge}}
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<!-- GRAYS -->
<!-- GRAYS -->
| image6            = [[File:Othmar_Reichmuth_(2019).jpg|150px]]
| image6            = {{CSS image crop
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| colour6          = 808080
| colour6          = 808080
| leader6          = {{pa|Christian Rademacher}}
| leader6          = {{pa|Christian Rademacher}}
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<!-- DDP -->
<!-- DDP -->
| image7            = [[File:Carlo_sommaruga.jpg|150px]]
| image7            = {{CSS image crop
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| colour7          = 000000
| colour7          = 000000
| leader7          = {{pa|Raymond Thorne}}
| leader7          = {{pa|Raymond Thorne}}
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<!-- R&Y -->
<!-- R&Y -->
| image8            = [[File:2020-02-14_Oliver_Grundmann_(Bundestagsprojekt_2020)_by_Sandro_Halank–2.jpg|150px]]
| image8            = {{CSS image crop
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| colour8          = FFFF00
| colour8          = FFFF00
| leader8          = {{pa|Lorenz Jahnke}}
| leader8          = {{pa|Lorenz Jahnke}}
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}}
}}


Legislative elections were held in {{pa|Tepertopia}} on 4 February 2024 to elect the members of the 53rd Tepertopian Assembly. Voters were able to elect all 100 seats in the {{pa|Tepertopian Assembly}}, spread between the {{pa|List of constituencies of the Tepertopian Assembly|22 constituencies}}. In a close race, The Moderates defended their plurality of the first-preference vote by 834 votes, but tied with the Welfare Party in number of seats won. The Merchants' Guild remained stable, while Canon was able to make slight gains. The Future is Ours! lost a quarter of their seats. The Republic & You! entered the Assembly for the first time, winning a seat in Adaca.
Legislative elections were held in {{pa|Tepertopia}} on 4 February 2024 to elect the members of the {{pa|53rd Tepertopian Assembly}}. Voters were able to elect all 100 seats in the {{pa|Tepertopian Assembly}}, spread between the {{pa|List of constituencies of the Tepertopian Assembly|22 constituencies}}. In a close race, The Moderates defended their plurality of the first-preference vote by 834 votes, but tied with the Welfare Party in number of seats won. The Merchants' Guild remained stable, while Canon was able to make slight gains. The Future is Ours! lost a quarter of their seats. The Republic & You! entered the Assembly for the first time, winning a seat in Adaca.


== Background ==
== Background ==
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In terms of vote share, small parties and independents were the big winners of the election, winning a combined 25.1% of first preferences, an increase of 7.9{{wpl|Percentage point|pp}}. Nonetheless, this did not widely translate into increased seat counts, with only The Republic & You! newly entering the Assembly with one Assemblywoman, the Digital Democratic Party defending their five seats, and The Grays even losing a seat. The cause of this were their voter's lower preferences often ignoring other small parties and instead ranking candidates from one of the established parties highly.
In terms of vote share, small parties and independents were the big winners of the election, winning a combined 25.1% of first preferences, an increase of 7.9{{wpl|Percentage point|pp}}. Nonetheless, this did not widely translate into increased seat counts, with only The Republic & You! newly entering the Assembly with one Assemblywoman, the Digital Democratic Party defending their five seats, and The Grays even losing a seat. The cause of this were their voter's lower preferences often ignoring other small parties and instead ranking candidates from one of the established parties highly.
=== Overall ===


{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"
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=== Constituting session of the 53rd Assembly ===
=== Constituting session of the 53rd Assembly ===


The 53rd Assembly will have to constitute by Wednesday, March 6th, 2024.
[[File:Hamburg_Senat_2010-05-by-RaBoe-01.jpg|thumb|Constituting session of the 53rd Tepertopian Assembly]]
 
The {{pa|53rd Tepertopian Assembly|new Assembly}} constituted on Monday, 4 March 2024.
 
Before the session could begin, while members were being sworn in by {{wpl|Father of the House}} {{pa|Albert of Lowe}}, Assemblywoman {{pa|Liza Buckley|Buckley}} (R&Y) of Adaca refused to take the {{wpl|Oath of office|oath of office}}, and was subsequently denied from formally taking her seat.
 
As expected, {{pa|Seymour Farnham}} was re-elected as Assembly President by a vote of 81‒9, with nine abstentions. He then proposed Assemblywoman {{pa|Liesbeth von Sonntag|von Sonntag}} (W) of Happelstein as his First Deputy President, alongside Assemblypeople {{pa|Erma McKinnon|McKinnon}} (GUILD) of Merpor, {{pa|Terry Seidel|Seidel}} (C) of the Grasslands, and {{pa|Peter Silie|Silie}} (FiO) of Schöffel as Deputy Presidents. The joint ticket was approved by the Assembly by a vote of 88‒6, with five abstentions.
 
The Assemblypeople elected for a political party all joined together in a faction respectively, with the exception of Assemblywoman Buckley, on account of her not formally taking her seat. {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} Assemblypeople {{pa|Ferdinand von Rehm|von Rehm}}, {{pa|Lucia Erlenhauer|Erlenhauer}}, {{pa|Sean McPatrick|McPatrick}}, and {{pa|Max Pfäffer|Pfäffer}} also formed a faction, although with the express purpose of only enjoying the additional rights awarded to parliamentary factions, without a {{wpl|Whip (politics)|whip}} imposed upon its members.

Latest revision as of 17:22, 27 May 2024

2024 Tepertopian Assembly election
← 2021 February 4, 2024 (2024-02-04) 2027 →
All 100 seats in the Tepertopian Assembly
51 seats needed for a majority
Registered1,168,882
Turnout987,331 (84.5%) Decrease 0.5pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Volker_Bouffier.jpg
Brigitte_Häberli-Koller_(2015,_cropped).jpg
Angus King 113th Congress.jpg
Leader Fredric Hyde Julie Wright Walton Geldenberg
Party M W GUILD
Leader since 18 July 2023 2 April 2018 9 October 2019
Leader's seat Atrinch & Central Gerstle, Groß-Reichenbach, & Herzogtum Wesford
Last election 27 seats, 24.1% 21 seats, 22.0% 16 seats, 14.6%
Seats before 27 21 16
Seats won 23 23 16
Seat change Decrease 4 Increase 2 Steady
Popular vote 199,940 199,086 126,877
Percentage 20.7% 20.6% 13.1
Swing Decrease 3.4pp Decrease 1.4pp Decrease 1.5pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Patrick_McHenry_115th_Congress_photo_(cropped).jpg
Adèle_Thorens-Goumaz.jpg
Othmar_Reichmuth_(2019).jpg
Leader Achim Revie Frieda Berge Christian Rademacher
Party C FiO GRAYS
Leader since 23 December 2013 15 March 2021 1 January 2018
Leader's seat Unterland Adaca Grasslands
Last election 13 seats, 10.3% 11 seats, 11.8% 4 seats, 4.1%
Seats before 13 11 4
Seats won 15 8 3
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 3 Decrease 1
Popular vote 107,615 91,419 39,038
Percentage 11.1% 9.5% 4.0%
Swing Increase 0.8pp Decrease 2.3pp Decrease 0.1pp
  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
 
Carlo_sommaruga.jpg
2020-02-14_Oliver_Grundmann_(Bundestagsprojekt_2020)_by_Sandro_Halank–2.jpg
Leader Raymond Thorne Lorenz Jahnke N/A
Party DDP R&Y Independents
Leader since 13 April 2015 26 October 2022
Leader's seat Merpor Heckel (lost)
Last election 5 seats, 3.1% 0 seats, 0.8% 3 seats, 2.2%
Seats before 5 0 3
Seats won 5 1 6
Seat change Steady Increase 1 Increase 3
Popular vote 36,535 21,563 51,897
Percentage 3.4% 2.2% 5.4%
Swing Increase 0.3pp Increase 1.4pp Increase 3.2pp
Party affiliation of seat winners by constituency
Composition of the Tepertopian Assembly after the election
Assembly President before election

Seymour Farnham
The Moderates

Assembly President

Seymour Farnham
The Moderates

Legislative elections were held in Tepertopia on 4 February 2024 to elect the members of the 53rd Tepertopian Assembly. Voters were able to elect all 100 seats in the Tepertopian Assembly, spread between the 22 constituencies. In a close race, The Moderates defended their plurality of the first-preference vote by 834 votes, but tied with the Welfare Party in number of seats won. The Merchants' Guild remained stable, while Canon was able to make slight gains. The Future is Ours! lost a quarter of their seats. The Republic & You! entered the Assembly for the first time, winning a seat in Adaca.

Background

In the 2021 Tepertopian Assembly election, The Moderates led by incumbent Assembly President Seymour Farnham won a plurality of 27 seats and thus defended the Assembly Presidency, yet lost vote share and seats. Its main competitor, the Welfare Party, picked up 21 seats, but wasn't able to gain much ground on the Moderates due to a decreased vote share itself. Widely considered to be the winners of the election in regards to raw vote swing, The Future is Ours! won 11 seats, more than doubling their seat count. The Merchants' Guild and Canon remained stable at 16 and 13 seats respectively. Minor parties DDP and The Grays defended their Assembly presences as well.

Procedure

The procedure of Assembly elections is governed by the Assembly Elections Act (Bürgerschaftswahlgesetz), with fundamentals laid down in the Tepertopian Articles of Union.

Article 44 of the Articles of Union stipulates that 90 days before the Assembly is due to be dissolved, the Protector of Tepertopia shall schedule an Assembly election, to be held between 90 and 120 days after being scheduled. The referenced dissolution of the Assembly is regulated in Article 49, requiring the Assembly to be dissolved three years after its constituting session. Since the 52nd Tepertopian Assembly constituted on 3 February 2021, the election was to be scheduled on 3 November 2023, with the possible dates for the election being February 4th, 11th, 18th, and 25th, 2024. The Protector scheduled the election for 4 February.

Two weeks thereafter, candidacy registrations were opened for a period of 30 days, with candidates whose registrations were rejected by the Federal Electoral Commission then having two weeks to challenge this decision before an Administrative Court. On the 60th day following the scheduling, the candidate lists were declared final.

On election day, polling stations were open from 8 AM to 10 PM. Voters were also able to request mail-in ballots up until 14 days before the election. Once the polls closed, the ballot boxes were collected centrally in each constituency overnight, with counting beginning the following day. Preliminary results from the local electoral commissions can usually be expected by the end of the day, with certification by the Federal Electoral Commission typically happening several days after.

According to Article 51 of the Articles of Union, the newly-elected Assembly then has to meet for its constituting session no later than 30 days after election day.

Electoral system

Elections to the Tepertopian Assembly use the single transferable vote (STV). The 100 Assemblypeople are elected from 22 constituencies, each having between three and ten seats up for election. Voters have the option to number any number of candidates on the ballot in descending order of their preference. Ballots are initially counted as one vote for the candidate marked most preferred. If this candidate is elected, all their votes are transferred to the next-preferred candidate who are still in the race at a reduced weight, relative to the total vote surplus to the elected candidate's name (senatorial rules method). Votes for eliminated candidates are transferred to the next-preferred candidate at their current weight.

Constituency boundaries and magnitude remained unchanged from the 2021 Tepertopian Assembly election.

Campaign

Opinion polling

Results

Results were certified by the Federal Electoral Commission on 14 February 2024, nine days after counting first commenced and ten since the polls closed.

The Moderates once more defended their plurality of the first-preference vote, albeit by only 834 votes and .1% due to again losing vote share. They also fell to 23 seats, tieing with the Welfare Party, which managed to recoup their lost vote share from the last election and finished on 20.6% of the first-preference vote. Finishing third, the Merchants Guild dropped to 13.1% but remained at 16 seats, while Canon increased their vote share to 11.1% and won two additional seats for a total of 15. The Future is Ours! suffered a loss of a sixth of their vote share and over a quarter of their seats, winning eight.

In terms of vote share, small parties and independents were the big winners of the election, winning a combined 25.1% of first preferences, an increase of 7.9pp. Nonetheless, this did not widely translate into increased seat counts, with only The Republic & You! newly entering the Assembly with one Assemblywoman, the Digital Democratic Party defending their five seats, and The Grays even losing a seat. The cause of this were their voter's lower preferences often ignoring other small parties and instead ranking candidates from one of the established parties highly.

Overall

2024 Tepertopian Assembly election – 4 February 2024
Party First-preference votes Seats
Count % Swing (pp) Count Change
The Moderates 199,940 20.66 Decrease 3.4 23 Decrease 4
Welfare Party 199,086 20.57 Decrease 1.4 23 Increase 2
Merchants' Guild 126,877 13.11 Decrease 1.5 16 Steady
Canon 107,615 11.12 Increase 0.8 15 Increase 2
The Future is Ours! 91,419 9.45 Decrease 2.3 8 Decrease 3
The Grays 39,038 4.03 Decrease 0.1 3 Decrease 1
Digital Democratic Party 36,535 3.78 Increase 0.3 5 Steady
The Republic & You! 21,563 2.23 Increase 1.4 1 Increase 1
The Right Way 19,559 2.02 Increase 0.5 0 Steady
Tepertopian Agricultural League 16,792 1.74 Steady 0 Steady
Socialist Party of Tepertopia 16,172 1.67 Increase 0.4 0 Steady
Conservative Party of Tepertopia 8,574 0.89 Increase 0.2 0 Steady
Rainbow Alliance 5,806 0.60 New 0 New
Arise Valetria! 5,131 0.53 Decrease 0.1 0 Steady
Alliance pro Tepertopia 5,026 0.52 New 0 New
Tepertopians for Animals 4,786 0.49 Increase 0.1 0 Steady
Grassroots Tepertopia 3,493 0.36 New 0 New
Team Grattelmann 3,427 0.35 New 0 New
Harmonist Party 2,845 0.29 Steady 0 Steady
ThePragmatists. 1,298 0.13 New 0 New
The Silent Majority 971 0.10 Steady 0 Steady
Independents 51,897 5.36 Increase 3.2 6 Increase 3
Total 967,750 100.00% – 100 –
Valid votes 967,750 98.03%
Invalid/blank votes 19,481 1.97%
Total votes 987,331 –
Registered voters/turnout 1,168,882 84.47%

Voting summary

First-preference vote share
The Moderates
 
 20.7%
Welfare
 
 20.6%
Merchants' Guild
 
 13.1%
Canon
 
 11.1%
The Future is Ours!
 
 9.5%
The Grays
 
 4.0%
Digital Democratic
 
 3.8%
The Republic & You!
 
 2.2%
The Right Way
 
 2.0%
T.A.L.
 
 1.7%
Socialist
 
 1.7%
Others
 
 4.3%
Independent
 
 5.3%
First-preference vote share of constituencies contested
The Moderates
 
 20.7%
Welfare
 
 20.6%
Merchants' Guild
 
 13.1%
Canon
 
 11.1%
The Future is Ours!
 
 9.5%
Digital Democratic
 
 6.9%
The Grays
 
 5.0%
The Republic & You!
 
 3.7%
T.A.L.
 
 2.9%
The Right Way
 
 2.8%
Socialist
 
 2.8%
Others
 
 14.1%
Independent
 
 5.7%

Seats summary

Assembly seats
The Moderates
 
 23%
Welfare
 
 23%
Merchants' Guild
 
 16%
Canon
 
 15%
The Future is Ours!
 
 8%
Digital Democratic
 
 5%
The Grays
 
 3%
The Republic & You!
 
 1%
Independent
 
 6%
Assembly seats out of candidates nominated
The Moderates
 
 56.1%
Canon
 
 53.6%
Welfare
 
 52.3%
Merchants' Guild
 
 51.6%
Digital Democratic
 
 50.0%
The Future is Ours!
 
 26.7%
The Grays
 
 17.7%
The Republic & You!
 
 8.3%
Independent
 
 12.2%

Seats changing parties

Constituency Incumbent's party Winner's party
Adaca The Future is Ours! The Republic & You!
Arbor & Nair The Grays The Moderates
Atrinch & Central The Moderates The Grays
Gerstle, Groß-Reichenbach & Herzogtum The Moderates Independent
The Future is Ours! Merchants' Guild
Grasslands Independent Welfare Party
Hathamia & Partania The Moderates Canon
Merpor The Moderates Independent
The Future is Ours! Welfare Party
Riverside The Grays Canon
Peninley Merchants' Guild Independent
Unterland The Moderates Independent

Incumbents who lost their seats

Party Seats lost Name Constituency Year elected
The Moderates 8 Dr. Karl-Otto Bergmann Gerstle, Groß-Reichenbach & Herzogtum 2017
Erika von Dresbach-Schwehr Unterland 2011
Mary-Jane Forman Atrinch & Central 2021
Barry Steven Gardner Bellver 2021
David Hopkins Adaca 2021
Dr. Stephanie Myles-Hopkinson Merpor 2014
Theodore Patrick Newman Hathamia & Partania 2011
Kai Martin Winkelmeyer Oberland & Stadt 2017
Welfare Party 1 Dr. Jane Hoffman Riverside 2021
Merchants' Guild 2 Erich Schlögl Peninley 2002
Rose Spurlocke Wesford 2017
The Future is Ours! 1 Darren Doyle Merpor 2021
The Grays 1 Claus-Dieter Kröger Arbor & Nair 2021
Independent 1 Dr. Monica Walton Grasslands 2021

Aftermath

Party reactions

Constituting session of the 53rd Assembly

Constituting session of the 53rd Tepertopian Assembly

The new Assembly constituted on Monday, 4 March 2024.

Before the session could begin, while members were being sworn in by Father of the House Albert of Lowe, Assemblywoman Buckley (R&Y) of Adaca refused to take the oath of office, and was subsequently denied from formally taking her seat.

As expected, Seymour Farnham was re-elected as Assembly President by a vote of 81‒9, with nine abstentions. He then proposed Assemblywoman von Sonntag (W) of Happelstein as his First Deputy President, alongside Assemblypeople McKinnon (GUILD) of Merpor, Seidel (C) of the Grasslands, and Silie (FiO) of Schöffel as Deputy Presidents. The joint ticket was approved by the Assembly by a vote of 88‒6, with five abstentions.

The Assemblypeople elected for a political party all joined together in a faction respectively, with the exception of Assemblywoman Buckley, on account of her not formally taking her seat. Independent Assemblypeople von Rehm, Erlenhauer, McPatrick, and Pfäffer also formed a faction, although with the express purpose of only enjoying the additional rights awarded to parliamentary factions, without a whip imposed upon its members.

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